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Channel: Stephen Shea – Basketball Analytics
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NBA Defense Analytics: Inducing PISS

By Stephen Shea (@SteveShea33) and Christopher Baker (@ChrisBakerAM) October 30, 2015   Defenses can consistently influence opponent shot selection. Red Auerbach once said, “Basketball is like war in...

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Layup for you, 3 for me

February 4, 2016 By Stephen Shea Modern NBA teams love the 3-point shot. (Well, most of them do.) This season, teams are averaging an all-time-high 23.7 3-point attempts per game. Even in this...

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Trading Tobias Harris?

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D. February 12, 2016   On February 8th, Mark Stein tweeted the following. Monday morning trade scuttle: Orlando isn't outright shopping Tobias Harris, but word is the Magic aren't...

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First Look at 2016 College Prospect Ratings

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D. February 15, 2016   College Prospect Rating (CPR) is a score assigned to college basketball players that approximates their NBA potential. It is generated with a formula that...

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What if your team had CPR for the 2012 draft?

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D.   It’s June 28, 2012. NBA teams have gone through months of reviewing game film, conducting workouts, and holding interviews in preparation of this evening’s draft. Anthony Davis...

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Rebuilding Brooklyn through defense

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D. February 20, 2016   Brooklyn Nets owner Mikhail Prokhorov recently wrote a letter to the Brooklyn fans. In it, Prokhorov admits, “the problem with the Nets has been a lack of...

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How not to construct an NBA lineup

By Stephen Shea (@SteveShea33) and Chris Baker (@ChrisBakerAM) February 21, 2016   Building a successful NBA lineup is more than blindly assembling 5 talented NBA players. It’s much more than that....

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The subtle brilliance of Portland

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D. February 25, 2016   Something special is happening in Portland. Amidst all the hoopla around Golden State, San Antonio, the impressive rookie performances of Towns and others,...

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Hello Bucks, my name is Corner 3

By Stephen Shea March 1, 2016 This season, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up twice as many corner 3s as they have made. It’s a feat that only two teams have accomplished in the last three years. (The...

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How an NBA team can use an expected points model

By Chris Baker (@ChrisBakerAM) and Steve Shea (@SteveShea33) March 16, 2015   “We played well tonight, but the shots didn’t fall.” – Every coach ever We hate the use of “random” or “luck” when...

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Updated 2016 CPR

By Stephen Shea, Ph.D. (@SteveShea33) College Prospect Ratings (CPR) are an objective measure of an NCAA prospect’s NBA potential. They are generated from a player’s projected position, his years...

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College Prospect Ratings (CPR) 2016

By Steve Shea, Ph.D. (@SteveShea33) April 6, 2016 College Prospect Ratings (CPR) is a formula that uses NCAA players’ on-the-court performance to quantify their NBA potential. Below, I will present the...

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Basketball Analytics: Still Misunderstood

by Stephen Shea, Ph.D. (@SteveShea33) June 1, 2016   We take one step forward and then two steps back. Every time I think our world is beginning to understand analytics, an article like that from...

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The Defensive 3-Point Revolution

By Chris Baker (@ChrisBakerAM) and Steve Shea (@SteveShea33) September 23, 2016 If the city of Boston were redesigned from scratch tomorrow, no sane person would weave the confounding knot of one-way...

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The Bulls have a Lineup Construction Problem; Blame the GM and Coach

By Stephen Shea (@SteveShea33) January 2, 2016 Recently, Marc Stein reported that Chicago’s coach, Fred Hoiberg, is on the hot seat.  He also suggested that Chicago’s VP of Basketball Operations, John...

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I tried to watch the Bulls and Knicks try to play basketball

By Stephen Shea (@SteveShea33) January 13, 2017 Last evening, I stumbled upon the nationally televised matchup between the Bulls and Knicks.  Even after enduring the nonsensical ramblings of a certain...

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Carmelo by the numbers

By Steve Shea (@SteveShea33) January 27, 2017 Reports are that Phil Jackson is serious about trading Carmelo Anthony. Melo is a bit of an enigma.  He is a 9-time all-star, 6-time all-NBA selection and...

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Rating Perimeter Defenders; Tony Allen Still King

By Steve Shea (@SteveShea33) February 1, 2017 It has always been more difficult to quantify a player’s defense than his offense.  Box scores offer little beyond blocks and steals.  While many players...

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Team Perimeter Defense; Memphis and Golden State On Top

By Stephen Shea (@SteveShea33) February 2, 2017 We recently released a metric for individual perimeter defense (or at least our first attempt at one with modern data).  The purpose of this post is to...

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Individual Defensive Ratings; Draymond, Embiid and Giannis On Top

By Stephen Shea, (@SteveShea33) February 6, 2017 Historically, it has been far more difficult to quantify defensive performance than offensive production.  However, with recent improvements in data...

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